Category Archives: Publications

International Symposium on Forecasting Presentations

Last week I attended the International Symposium on Forecasting 2016. It was very interesting and enjoyable. Apart from the workshop on forecasting with R, I gave the following presentations: Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies This presentation was given to the practitioner track of the conference and its aim was to introduce the basic idea of temporal… Read More »

Forecasting Solar Irradiance: True models, trace optimisation and shrinkage

This is a talk I am giving today at Tasmanian School of Business and Economics at University of Tasmania. It connects two different research areas I am currently working on: solar irradiance forecasting and parameter optimisation under model uncertainty. You can find the presentation here. Half of the presentation is based on this paper if… Read More »

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

This is a talk that I am giving today at the University of Sydney Business School. This research builds upon MAPA and cross-sectional hierarchical forecasting, in particular optimal combinations. Temporal hierarchies reconcile across time, resulting in accurate short and long-term forecasts that can lead to aligned plans and decisions. Temporal hierarchies can be used with… Read More »