{"id":149,"date":"2014-04-19T17:07:36","date_gmt":"2014-04-19T17:07:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/?p=149"},"modified":"2014-06-26T16:28:03","modified_gmt":"2014-06-26T16:28:03","slug":"judgemental-model-selection-experiment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2014\/04\/19\/judgemental-model-selection-experiment\/","title":{"rendered":"Participate in our Judgemental Model Selection Experiment!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">We are invit\u00ading you to par\u00adtic\u00adi\u00adpate in a\u00a0web-\u200b\u200bbased judg\u00admen\u00adtal fore\u00adcast\u00ading exer\u00adcise. You are asked to select the best model, based on your judg\u00adment, for 32 time series.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The exer\u00adcise con\u00adsists of four rounds. Each round will con\u00adtain 8\u00a0series and will be fol\u00adlowed by a\u00a0short ques\u00adtion\u00adnaire, while dif\u00adfer\u00adent types of infor\u00adma\u00adtion will be pro\u00advided on top of the esti\u00admated fore\u00adcasts for the future peri\u00adods. Detailed instruc\u00adtions will be given prior to each round. You may com\u00adplete the exer\u00adcise at once (pre\u00adferred option) or in mul\u00adti\u00adple instances. Your progress will be saved and you may resume at your convenience.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At the end of the exer\u00adcise you will be pro\u00advided with your score. Your final per\u00adfor\u00admance will be cal\u00adcu\u00adlated based on the rank of the mod\u00adels cor\u00adre\u00adspond\u00ading to your choices, accord\u00ading to the actual (out-\u200b\u200bof-\u200b\u200bsample) per\u00adfor\u00admance of each model. The par\u00adtic\u00adi\u00adpants within the Top-\u200b\u200b20 will be awarded with Ama\u00adzon Gift Cards (\u00a350\u00a0each).<\/p>\n<p>You can access the web-\u200b\u200bbased exer\u00adcise here: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forsoc.net\/2014\/05\/10\/judgmental-model-selection-for-time-series-forecasting\/\">Forecasting Society<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Thank you in advance for your participation!<\/p>\n<p>Fotios Petropoulos and Nikolaos Kourentzes<\/p>\n<div class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Posts\"><H3>Related Posts<\/H3><ul class=\"entry-meta\"><li class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Post\"><a title=\"Visitor Arrivals Forecasts amid COVID-19: A Perspective from the Africa Team\" href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2021\/07\/09\/visitor-arrivals-forecasts-amid-covid-19-a-perspective-from-the-africa-team\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Visitor Arrivals Forecasts amid COVID-19: A Perspective from the Africa Team<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Post\"><a title=\"Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models\" href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2018\/06\/20\/judgmental-selection-of-forecasting-models\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Post\"><a title=\"Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling\" href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2018\/06\/20\/another-look-at-forecast-selection-and-combination-evidence-from-forecast-pooling\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div><!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We are invit\u00ading you to par\u00adtic\u00adi\u00adpate in a\u00a0web-\u200b\u200bbased judg\u00admen\u00adtal fore\u00adcast\u00ading exer\u00adcise. You are asked to select the best model, based on your judg\u00adment, for 32 time series. The exer\u00adcise con\u00adsists of four rounds. Each round will con\u00adtain 8\u00a0series and will be fol\u00adlowed by a\u00a0short ques\u00adtion\u00adnaire, while dif\u00adfer\u00adent types of infor\u00adma\u00adtion will be pro\u00advided on top\u2026 <span class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2014\/04\/19\/judgemental-model-selection-experiment\/\">Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/span><!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[41],"tags":[44,43],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<!-- WP Super Cache is installed but broken. 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