{"id":880,"date":"2015-08-20T20:39:42","date_gmt":"2015-08-20T20:39:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/?p=880"},"modified":"2015-08-20T20:39:42","modified_gmt":"2015-08-20T20:39:42","slug":"forecasting-solar-irradiance-true-models-trace-optimisation-and-shrinkage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2015\/08\/20\/forecasting-solar-irradiance-true-models-trace-optimisation-and-shrinkage\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecasting Solar Irradiance: True models, trace optimisation and shrinkage"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This is a talk I am giving today at Tasmanian School of Business and Economics at University of Tasmania. It connects two different research areas I am currently working on: solar irradiance forecasting and parameter optimisation under model uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">You can find the presentation <a href=\"http:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/UTAS20150821_Kourentzes.pdf\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Half of the presentation is based on this <a href=\"http:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2015\/03\/25\/short-term-solar-irradiation-forecasting-based-on-dynamic-harmonic-regression\/\">paper<\/a> if you are interested in the details.<\/p>\n<div class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Posts\"><H3>Related Posts<\/H3><ul class=\"entry-meta\"><li class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Post\"><a title=\"Automatic robust estimation for exponential smoothing: perspectives from statistics and machine learning\" href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2020\/06\/04\/automatic-robust-estimation-for-exponential-smoothing-perspectives-from-statistics-and-machine-learning\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Automatic robust estimation for exponential smoothing: perspectives from statistics and machine learning<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Post\"><a title=\"Elucidate structure in intermittent demand time series\" href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2020\/05\/25\/elucidate-structure-in-intermittent-demand-time-series\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Elucidate structure in intermittent demand time series<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"SPOSTARBUST-Related-Post\"><a title=\"Optimising forecasting models for inventory planning\" href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2020\/05\/25\/optimising-forecasting-models-for-inventory-planning\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Optimising forecasting models for inventory planning<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div><!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is a talk I am giving today at Tasmanian School of Business and Economics at University of Tasmania. It connects two different research areas I am currently working on: solar irradiance forecasting and parameter optimisation under model uncertainty. You can find the presentation here. Half of the presentation is based on this paper if\u2026 <span class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/2015\/08\/20\/forecasting-solar-irradiance-true-models-trace-optimisation-and-shrinkage\/\">Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/span><!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[73],"tags":[32,15,23,63,74],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/880"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=880"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/880\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=880"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=880"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kourentzes.com\/forecasting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=880"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<!-- WP Super Cache is installed but broken. The constant WPCACHEHOME must be set in the file wp-config.php and point at the WP Super Cache plugin directory. -->