Last week had been very busy at the 27th European Conference on Operational Research. Within the Analytics, Data Science, Data Mining stream there was a specialised stream on Forecasting & Time Series Prediction that was very successfully organised by Sven F. Crone and Aris Syntetos. The talks have been stimulating and of a high level. Given that the conference was hosted in Glasgow it was very easy for several colleagues of mine to attend and therefore I was involved in a large number of presentations.
Here is the list of the various topics that were presented, click on the title to access the presentation slides.
- Patrick Saoud, Nikolaos Kourentzes, John Boylan. Re-evaluating the bullwhip effect measurement: what are we capturing?
- Ivan Svetunkov, Nikolaos Kourentzes. Trace likelihood and shrinkage in estimation of the forecasting models
- Devon Barrow, Nikolaos Kourentzes. Forecasting intraday arrivals at a call centre using neural networks: forecasting anomalous days.
- Yves R. Sagaert, Nikolaos Kourentzes, El-Houssaine Aghezzaf, Bram Desmet. Causal leading indicators detection for demand forecasting.
- Oliver Schaer, Nikolaos Kourentzes. Do sales depend on search traffic? The case of video games.
- Juan Ramon Trapero Arenas, Nikolaos Kourentzes, Alberto Martin. Solar irradiation forecasting based on dynamic harmonic regression.
- Nikolaos Kourentzes, Juan Ramon Trapero Arenas. Exponential smoothing parameter estimation for complex seasonal forms: the case solar irradiation forecasting.
- Fotios Petropoulos, Nikolaos Kourentzes, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos. DIY forecasting: judgment, models and judgmental model selection.
I think that is probably the record number of presentations I will ever be involved in a conference. To mark the occasion I ensured that we would have some photos with all of us together!